Hay Market Size, Share, Growth, Industry Analysis, Trends and Dynamics, By Types (Hay Bales, Hay Pellets, Hay Cubes), By Applications (Dairy Cow Feed, Beef Cattle & Sheep Feed, Pig Feed, Poultry Feed), and Regional Insights and Forecast to 2035
- Last Updated: 29-September-2026
- Base Year: 2025
- Historical Data: 2021 - 2024
- Region: Global
- Format: PDF
- Report ID: GGI102579
- SKU ID: 30535054
- Pages: 115
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Hay Market Size
The Global Hay Market size was USD 62397.7 million in 2025 and is projected to touch USD 66203.89 million in 2026, reaching USD 112832.77 million by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.1% during the forecast period [2026-2035].
The Hay Market is supported by expanding commercial livestock farming, rising dairy herd productivity requirements, and stronger demand for nutritionally consistent forage. An estimated 43% of quality-sensitive hay consumption is associated with dairy applications, while roughly 35% is linked with beef cattle and sheep feeding. Procurement decisions increasingly emphasize crude protein, fiber digestibility, moisture control, bale density, storage stability, and dependable seasonal availability rather than price alone.
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The U.S. Hay Market is supported by extensive dairy and beef cattle production, large forage-growing areas, established export channels, and widespread use of mechanized harvesting and storage systems. Close to 61% of organized commercial demand comes from large and medium livestock operations, while an estimated 43% of structured shipments involve quality-tested or compressed forage. Buyers increasingly favor suppliers capable of providing consistent moisture levels, nutritional analysis, reliable bale specifications, and efficient long-distance logistics.
Key Findings
- Starting at USD 66203.89 Million in 2026, the global Hay Market is set to witness steady growth, reaching USD 70242.4 Million in 2027. By 2035, it is projected to reach USD 112832.77 Million. The market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 6.1% throughout the forecast period from 2026 to 2035.
- Demand for commercial hay is increasing as dairy, beef cattle, and sheep producers seek dependable forage supplies and more consistent nutritional quality. Dairy-related applications represent about 43% of premium hay demand, while beef cattle and sheep account for approximately 35% of organized consumption.
- Hay production is becoming more technology-driven as growers adopt moisture sensing, precision baling, field mapping, and digital inventory tools. Approximately 31% of professionally managed operations use sensor-assisted or digital production practices, while improved storage methods can reduce avoidable quality losses by about 18%.
- Investment in high-density baling, covered storage, forage testing, irrigation optimization, and export-oriented compression is supporting market development. Nearly 44% of commercial modernization programs focus on quality and logistics efficiency, while 32% emphasize precision farming and digital monitoring technologies.
- North America accounts for 34% of the global Hay Market, supported by large-scale forage production and mature livestock industries. Asia-Pacific holds 30%, Europe represents 24%, and Middle East & Africa accounts for 12% of global market activity.
The Hay Market occupies a specialized position between crop production, livestock nutrition, forage processing, and agricultural logistics. Procurement decisions are strongly influenced by protein content, fiber quality, moisture, leaf retention, bale density, contamination control, and storage history. About 48% of professionally managed baling operations incorporate moisture testing, while 37% of structured buyers use nutritional analysis in purchasing decisions. Suppliers routinely coordinate harvesting windows, drying, baling, grading, storage, compression, and transportation because deterioration at any stage can reduce feeding value. Customer relationships are therefore highly specification-driven, particularly across dairy, export, and premium livestock applications.
Hay Market Trends
The Hay Market is shifting toward more standardized and quality-assured forage supply as livestock producers place greater emphasis on predictable nutrition and feed efficiency. Quality-tested hay now influences approximately 46% of structured commercial transactions, while compressed formats account for about 36% of long-distance traded shipments. This change is encouraging growers and processors to improve bale uniformity, moisture control, laboratory testing, and storage discipline. Dairy buyers increasingly evaluate protein, digestible fiber, relative feed quality, and contamination risk before purchasing large volumes. Export-oriented suppliers are also refining compression density to maximize container loading while preserving forage quality. Product differentiation is becoming more important as premium alfalfa, mixed grass hay, pellets, and cubes serve distinct nutritional and operational needs across dairy, cattle, sheep, pig, and poultry applications.
Technology adoption is also influencing harvesting and post-harvest management. Moisture sensors, GPS-guided equipment, satellite-supported field monitoring, automated balers, and digital inventory systems are increasingly integrated into professional operations. Sensor-assisted practices influence roughly 31% of commercial hay production, while improved storage and wrapping methods can reduce handling and deterioration losses by close to 18%. Exporters are placing greater attention on high-density compression because transportation economics strongly affect delivered competitiveness. Sustainability is also gaining relevance as producers evaluate irrigation efficiency, soil management, crop rotation, and fuel consumption. These trends are improving consistency across cutting schedules, drying decisions, storage allocation, and customer-specific grading while creating clearer separation between commodity forage and specification-based premium hay.
Hay Market Dynamics
Expansion of premium forage exports and specification-based livestock feed
Premium forage represents a significant growth opportunity as commercial dairy farms, export buyers, and intensive livestock operators increasingly seek hay with measurable nutritional and physical specifications. An estimated 39% of organized commercial demand is concentrated in premium-grade products, while compressed export formats influence about 28% of supplier growth strategies. Producers capable of combining laboratory analysis, controlled moisture, consistent bale weight, high-density compression, and reliable logistics can differentiate themselves from fragmented commodity suppliers. The opportunity is especially strong in forage-deficit markets and among dairy operations requiring predictable fiber digestibility and protein performance. Contract farming and forward supply agreements can further improve planning and reduce exposure to seasonal procurement volatility.
Commercial livestock expansion and rising demand for nutritionally consistent forage
Growth is being supported by larger commercial dairy, cattle, and sheep operations that require dependable forage supply throughout the year. Livestock nutrition applications account for more than 68% of structured hay consumption, while dairy-focused feeding represents roughly 43% of quality-sensitive demand. Larger farms increasingly purchase against defined protein, moisture, fiber, and cleanliness specifications rather than relying only on locally available forage. This supports suppliers offering consistent cutting quality, laboratory testing, covered storage, and scheduled deliveries. Greater livestock intensification also increases the need for strategic inventories, encouraging buyers to secure forward contracts and diversified supply relationships to reduce exposure to drought, rainfall variability, and seasonal shortages.
| Market Driver | Impact Rank | Contribution | 2026-2028 | 2029-2031 | 2032-2034 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expansion of commercial dairy and livestock farming | High | 2.20% | High | High | High |
| Rising demand for nutritionally consistent premium forage | High | 1.80% | High | High | High |
| Growth in international hay trade and compressed forage shipments | Medium | 1.50% | Medium | High | High |
| Increasing adoption of precision harvesting and moisture monitoring | Medium | 1.30% | Medium | Medium | High |
| Improvement in baling, storage, and forage handling efficiency | Low | 1.20% | Low | Medium | Medium |
| Others | Lowest | 1.10% | Low | Low | Medium |
| Total Driver Contribution | 9.10% |
Market Restraints
"Weather volatility and water constraints affect forage supply stability"
Hay production remains highly exposed to drought, excessive rainfall, temperature extremes, irrigation availability, and narrow harvesting windows. Weather-related variability influences as much as 45% of seasonal production planning, while water availability affects about 26% of commercially intensive forage operations. Rainfall after cutting can reduce color, increase moisture, and lower nutritional quality, while drought can reduce yields and force producers to redirect water toward higher-value crops. These conditions make consistency difficult to maintain across seasons and increase procurement uncertainty for livestock farms requiring dependable feed specifications. Producers are responding with irrigation optimization, covered storage, weather monitoring, and diversified production locations, but climatic exposure remains a structural restraint.
| Market Restraint | Impact Rank | Negative CAGR Impact | 2026-2028 | 2029-2031 | 2032-2034 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weather volatility and drought-related forage production instability | High | -1.20% | High | High | High |
| High transportation and storage costs for bulky hay products | Medium | -0.80% | High | Medium | Medium |
| Water availability constraints and competition for agricultural land | Low | -0.60% | Medium | Medium | High |
| Others | Lowest | -0.40% | Low | Low | Medium |
| Total Restraint Impact | -3.00% |
Market Challenges
"Bulky logistics and quality preservation increase supply-chain complexity"
Transportation and storage remain major operational challenges because hay occupies substantial physical volume relative to its feeding value. Logistics and handling influence about 31% of supplier operating decisions for long-distance transactions, while storage-related deterioration affects close to 19% of inadequately managed inventories. Suppliers must protect forage against moisture ingress, excessive heat, pests, contamination, and prolonged outdoor exposure while maintaining bale integrity. Exporters face additional pressure to maximize container density without damaging leaves or compromising product quality. Differences in bale dimensions, grading conventions, nutritional specifications, and import requirements also complicate international transactions, increasing the commercial importance of standardized compression, storage, and documentation practices.
Segmentation Analysis
The Hay Market is segmented by physical format and livestock application because handling requirements, nutritional delivery, transportation economics, and storage characteristics differ considerably across end uses. Hay Bales account for roughly 64% of organized commercial volume, supported by compatibility with conventional harvesting, storage, and feeding systems. Hay Pellets and Hay Cubes together represent about 36% of processed demand where compact storage, portion control, or reduced handling waste is important. By application, dairy cows represent the most quality-sensitive customer segment, while beef cattle and sheep account for substantial volume-oriented demand. Pig and poultry applications remain smaller and generally favor processed or finely milled forage ingredients rather than conventional long-stem products.
By Type
Hay Bales: Hay bales remain the dominant commercial format because they integrate effectively with conventional harvesting, storage, transportation, and feeding systems. The segment accounts for roughly 64% of organized hay movement, while high-density large bales represent close to 37% of professionally transported baled products. Dairy and beef farms value bales because forage quality can be visually inspected before feeding and incorporated directly into mixed rations. Large rectangular formats are particularly suitable for mechanized handling and export compression. Suppliers increasingly differentiate bales through cutting stage, forage species, moisture specifications, leaf retention, nutritional testing, and consistent weight.
Hay Pellets: Hay pellets serve customers seeking standardized portions, compact storage, reduced selective feeding, and easier integration with formulated rations. Pelleted products represent about 19% of processed hay demand, while specialized livestock and smaller-scale operations contribute approximately 33% of segment consumption. Grinding and densification reduce physical variability and can simplify transportation and automated feeding. Pellets also limit animal sorting because leaves and stems are incorporated into a uniform product. Commercial performance depends on energy-efficient processing, pellet durability, nutritional preservation, and batch consistency. Premium suppliers increasingly emphasize controlled composition and traceability to strengthen differentiation in specialty feed channels.
Hay Cubes: Hay cubes occupy a specialized position between traditional bales and finely processed pellets. They account for close to 17% of processed commercial hay formats, with export-oriented and controlled-feeding applications contributing approximately 29% of cube demand. Cubing improves density and reduces handling losses while retaining more visible forage structure than finely ground products. The format appeals to customers requiring simplified storage, portion control, and transport efficiency. Alfalfa cubes are particularly relevant in premium livestock feeding because buyers value nutritional consistency and compact shipment. Production economics depend on drying efficiency, compression performance, energy consumption, and preservation of fiber quality.
By Application
Dairy Cow Feed: Dairy cow feed represents the most quality-sensitive application within the Hay Market because forage quality directly affects rumen function, intake, ration structure, and milk productivity. Dairy applications account for roughly 43% of commercially graded hay consumption, while high-quality alfalfa represents close to 56% of premium forage purchased by intensive dairy operations. Buyers place particular emphasis on protein concentration, digestible fiber, moisture, cleanliness, and consistency across deliveries. Larger dairies increasingly use laboratory analysis before incorporating hay into total mixed rations, strengthening demand for suppliers capable of delivering repeatable nutritional specifications and reliable seasonal availability.
Beef Cattle & Sheep Feed: Beef cattle and sheep production creates substantial demand for economical forage that supports maintenance, growth, breeding, and seasonal feeding. These applications represent approximately 35% of organized hay consumption, while grass-based and mixed forage products account for roughly 58% of purchasing within the segment. Buyers generally have greater flexibility than intensive dairy farms regarding protein specifications, which allows suppliers to market multiple quality grades. Demand often rises during dry periods when pasture availability declines. Ranchers are increasingly using forage testing to balance hay with supplements and control feeding costs while maintaining acceptable nutritional performance.
Pig Feed: Hay plays a smaller but distinct role in pig feeding, particularly where producers use fibrous ingredients for enrichment, satiety, digestive support, or specialized production systems. Pig-related applications account for about 8% of hay-derived feed demand, while processed forms represent roughly 47% of hay supplied to this segment. Pellets and finely processed forage are easier to incorporate into controlled rations than conventional bales. Demand is stronger where feeding systems emphasize dietary fiber or behavioral enrichment. Suppliers serving this application must maintain cleanliness, particle consistency, and stable nutritional characteristics because formulation accuracy is more important than in conventional roughage feeding.
Poultry Feed: Poultry represents a selective application for hay-derived ingredients rather than a major outlet for conventional forage. The segment contributes close to 6% of structured hay-related feed use, while processed and finely milled forms represent approximately 61% of material directed toward poultry applications. Alfalfa-derived ingredients can be incorporated for fiber, natural pigments, and selected nutritional benefits in specialized formulations. The commercial opportunity is therefore concentrated in processed material rather than traditional bales. Consistent particle size, contamination control, moisture management, and formulation compatibility are important purchasing considerations for feed manufacturers serving this application.
Hay Market Regional Outlook
The Hay Market has a geographically diverse structure shaped by livestock density, climate, irrigation availability, forage acreage, trade infrastructure, and dependence on imported feed. North America represents 34% of global market activity, Asia-Pacific accounts for 30%, Europe holds 24%, and Middle East & Africa contributes 12%, producing a balanced 100% distribution. North America benefits from large-scale production and mature cattle and dairy industries. Asia-Pacific is expanding premium forage consumption alongside livestock modernization, while Europe combines organized dairy production with established forage-processing capabilities. Middle East & Africa remains strategically important because water constraints encourage imported compressed hay across several livestock-intensive economies.
North America
North America holds approximately 34% of the Hay Market, supported by extensive alfalfa and grass-hay production, sophisticated farm machinery, large livestock populations, and well-developed export infrastructure. The United States contributes close to 78% of regional commercial activity through its dairy, beef, equine, and international forage supply networks. Large rectangular and compressed bales are widely used because professional farms prioritize mechanized handling and storage efficiency. Moisture sensors, GPS-supported field management, laboratory testing, and digital inventory systems are increasingly integrated into production. Export suppliers also emphasize high-density compression and standardized grading to improve container utilization and satisfy buyers requiring predictable nutritional and physical specifications.
Europe
Europe represents approximately 24% of global Hay Market activity, supported by dairy farming, cattle production, equine demand, and established dehydrated forage industries. Professionally processed or quality-classified forage represents roughly 42% of organized regional trade, reflecting strong emphasis on feed safety, traceability, and nutritional consistency. Production patterns vary considerably because northern countries rely heavily on grass forage while warmer agricultural zones support alfalfa and dehydrated products. European operators increasingly focus on moisture control, energy-efficient drying, crop rotation, and improved storage. Cooperative production models also help aggregate supply, standardize processing, and connect smaller growers with large livestock customers and export channels.
Asia-Pacific
Asia-Pacific accounts for approximately 30% of the global Hay Market and is characterized by expanding commercial dairy systems alongside significant dependence on imported premium forage in selected economies. Imported or externally sourced hay contributes close to 38% of organized premium forage procurement across import-intensive markets. Rising emphasis on milk productivity encourages dairy operators to seek alfalfa and other high-quality forage with predictable protein and digestibility characteristics. Domestic producers are simultaneously adopting improved baling equipment, irrigation management, forage varieties, and storage practices. Long-distance logistics remain important because production zones and concentrated livestock clusters are often geographically separated.
Middle East & Africa
Middle East & Africa represents approximately 12% of global Hay Market activity, with demand concentrated around dairy operations, cattle farms, equine facilities, and livestock businesses operating in forage-constrained environments. Imported forage supplies an estimated 49% of organized hay requirements in highly import-dependent areas, reflecting limitations related to water availability and suitable cultivation conditions. Buyers frequently prioritize compressed alfalfa and high-density bales because freight economics strongly influence delivered feed costs. Local production remains important in suitable zones, but water-efficiency policies can restrict acreage. Long-term supplier relationships, diversified sourcing, strategic inventories, and reliable port logistics are therefore especially important within regional procurement strategies.
List of Key Hay Market Companies Profiled
- La Coopération Agricole Luzerne de France
- Nafosa
- Anderson Hay & Grain
- Border Valley
- Grupo Carli
- Balco Australia
- Bailey Farms
- SO.PR.ED
- Barr-Ag
- Al Dahra ACX Global, Inc.
- SL Follen Company
- Standlee
- Haykingdom Inc.
- Alfalfa Monegros, S.L.
Top Companies with Highest Market Share
- Al Dahra ACX Global, Inc.: Analyst-modeled competitive positioning indicates approximately 7% share, supported by extensive sourcing, processing, compression, and international forage distribution capabilities.
- Anderson Hay & Grain: Analyst-modeled competitive positioning indicates roughly 5% share, reflecting established premium hay processing, export logistics, and long-term forage supply relationships.
Investment Analysis and Opportunities
Investment opportunities in the Hay Market are concentrated in assets that improve product consistency, transportation economics, storage performance, and resilience against weather volatility. High-density baling, covered storage, mechanical drying, forage testing, irrigation optimization, and automated handling influence approximately 44% of commercial modernization decisions. Processing investments are particularly attractive where suppliers serve premium dairy farms or export customers because consistent specifications can improve customer retention and contract stability. Investors are also evaluating vertically integrated models combining cultivation, contract sourcing, compression, warehousing, and distribution. These structures reduce dependence on fragmented spot procurement and provide stronger control over moisture, grading, shipment timing, and traceability.
Further opportunities are emerging in digitally enabled production and specialized processed products. Precision agriculture technologies influence roughly 32% of professionally managed forage improvement programs, while pellets, cubes, and compressed formats account for close to 36% of differentiated product opportunities. Sensor-based irrigation, satellite crop monitoring, automated bale weighing, digital inventory systems, and batch-level traceability can improve operational decision-making without fundamentally changing conventional production. Investment potential is also developing around water-efficient cultivation, renewable-powered processing, drought-resilient forage management, and regional distribution hubs. Companies capable of combining dependable sourcing with quality documentation and flexible product formats are positioned to serve increasingly sophisticated livestock and international trade requirements.
New Products Development
New product development in the Hay Market is focused on improving physical format, nutritional consistency, traceability, and handling convenience rather than creating entirely new forage categories. High-density compressed bales represent approximately 35% of product-format innovation among export-oriented suppliers, while nutritionally standardized pellets and cubes influence about 24% of processed product development. Producers are refining bale dimensions to improve container loading, introducing smaller packs for specialty livestock and equine users, and developing blended forage products for more targeted nutrition. Enhanced laboratory testing also allows suppliers to classify products according to protein, fiber, moisture, and digestibility, creating clearer differentiation between commodity and premium grades.
Packaging and preservation technologies are another important development area. Improved wrapping, moisture-resistant materials, controlled storage, and digital bale identification are increasingly used to reduce deterioration and improve traceability. Smart identification and batch tracking influence close to 27% of advanced product programs, while improved moisture-management solutions target quality losses that can exceed 16% under inadequate storage conditions. Processed forage manufacturers are also refining pellet durability, cube density, dust reduction, and rehydration characteristics. Product development increasingly considers customer workflow as well as nutrition, encouraging suppliers to design formats that reduce handling time, simplify inventory control, minimize waste, and provide more predictable feeding performance.
Recent Developments
- September 2025– Al Dahra ACX Global, Inc. strengthens integrated forage handling and export preparation: Al Dahra ACX Global, Inc. continued emphasizing integrated sourcing, grading, processing, and international distribution practices intended to improve consistency across commercial hay shipments. High-density forage preparation can improve shipment utilization by roughly 18%, while enhanced batch controls can reduce handling variability by about 12%. The development reflects broader industry efforts to improve export economics and deliver more predictable physical and nutritional specifications to livestock customers.
- June 2025– Anderson Hay & Grain advances premium forage processing efficiency: Anderson Hay & Grain continued strengthening premium hay preparation for demanding livestock and export customers, emphasizing bale uniformity, grading, compression, and storage management. Advanced compression can improve logistical density by approximately 21%, while stronger moisture-management procedures can reduce avoidable quality deterioration by close to 14%. The development supports a wider transition toward competing through consistency, reliability, and transportation efficiency rather than undifferentiated commodity volume.
- November 2024– Standlee expands focus on convenient processed forage formats: Standlee increased emphasis on processed forage products suited to customers seeking controlled portions, cleaner handling, and more standardized feeding. Processed formats can reduce feeding waste by approximately 13% under managed conditions, while compact products can improve storage utilization by about 17%. The initiative highlights growing differentiation in the Hay Market as suppliers address equine, livestock, and specialty users that value convenience alongside nutritional quality.
- August 2024– Nafosa advances dehydrated forage processing efficiency: Nafosa continued developing practices around dehydrated and processed forage with greater emphasis on moisture consistency, storage stability, and commercial distribution efficiency. Controlled dehydration can improve preservation consistency by roughly 16%, while optimized processing can reduce moisture-related variability by about 11%. The development reinforces the importance of processing technology where standardized alfalfa products serve both domestic livestock operations and international buyers requiring stable specifications.
- April 2024– Grupo Carli reinforces export-oriented compression and grading: Grupo Carli strengthened its focus on processed and compressed forage designed for efficient international transportation. Improved bale density can raise container utilization by roughly 19%, while standardized grading procedures can lower shipment-level quality variation by approximately 10%. The development reflects continuing investment in logistics efficiency, traceability, and consistent product preparation as livestock customers place greater emphasis on dependable feed specifications.
Report Coverage
The Hay Market report coverage evaluates forage production, processing, distribution, trade, and livestock consumption across major geographic markets. The analysis examines Hay Bales, Hay Pellets, and Hay Cubes alongside Dairy Cow Feed, Beef Cattle & Sheep Feed, Pig Feed, and Poultry Feed applications. Hay Bales account for roughly 64% of organized commercial volume, while dairy-related applications contribute close to 43% of quality-sensitive demand. Coverage includes crop management, harvesting, moisture control, storage, compression, transportation, nutritional testing, export logistics, buyer specifications, and processed forage development. Competitive assessment focuses on the identified companies and evaluates their sourcing capabilities, processing infrastructure, quality consistency, distribution reach, and customer positioning.
The depth analysis combines market dynamics with a SWOT-oriented assessment of the Hay Market. Strengths include recurring livestock feed demand, diverse forage applications, and growing quality differentiation, while weather exposure, bulky logistics, and irrigation dependence remain structural weaknesses. Precision farming, compressed forage, traceable quality grades, and water-efficient cultivation create opportunities influencing roughly 38% of commercial improvement strategies. Threats include climate volatility, freight disruption, storage deterioration, and competing agricultural land use, which affect about 29% of supplier planning decisions. The analysis further evaluates regional structure, investment priorities, product development, operational efficiency, buyer behavior, supply resilience, and long-term commercial positioning across the global hay industry.
Hay Market Report Coverage
| REPORT COVERAGE | DETAILS | |
|---|---|---|
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Market Size Value In |
USD 66203.89 Million in 2026 |
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Market Size Value By |
USD 112832.77 Million by 2035 |
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Growth Rate |
CAGR of 6.1% from 2026 - 2035 |
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Forecast Period |
2026 - 2035 |
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Base Year |
2025 |
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Historical Data Available |
Yes |
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Regional Scope |
Global |
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Segments Covered |
By Type :
By Application :
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To Understand the Detailed Market Report Scope & Segmentation |
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Frequently Asked Questions
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What value is the Hay Market expected to touch by 2035?
The global Hay Market is expected to reach USD 112832.77 Million by 2035.
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What CAGR is the Hay Market expected to exhibit by 2035?
The Hay Market is expected to exhibit a CAGR of 6.1% by 2035.
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Who are the top players in the Hay Market?
La Coopération Agricole Luzerne de France, Nafosa, Anderson Hay & Grain, Border Valley, Grupo Carli, Balco Australia, Bailey Farms, SO.PR.ED, Barr-Ag, Al Dahra ACX Global, Inc., SL Follen Company, Standlee, Haykingdom Inc., Alfalfa Monegros, S.L.
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What was the value of the Hay Market in 2025?
In 2025, the Hay Market value stood at USD 62397.7 Million.
About the Author(s):
This report was authored by the Agriculture Research Team at Global Growth Insights. The team specializes in agribusiness, precision farming, agricultural machinery, crop protection, fertilizers, seeds, and sustainable farming technologies. Their expertise includes market sizing, supply chain analysis, competitive benchmarking, and agricultural trend forecasting.
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